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return2ozma@lemmy.world to United States | News & Politics@lemmy.ml · 10 months ago

Harris and Trump are tied in 538's new polling averages

abcnews.go.com

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Harris and Trump are tied in 538's new polling averages

abcnews.go.com

return2ozma@lemmy.world to United States | News & Politics@lemmy.ml · 10 months ago
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Introducing 538's new 2024 presidential polling averages for Kamala Harris versus Donald Trump.
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  • DogPeePoo@lemm.ee
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    10 months ago

    538 had Hillary beating Trump in 2016.

    Polls are shit, have a plan and get out and vote.

    VOTE!!!

    • atzanteol@sh.itjust.works
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      10 months ago

      538 had Hillary beating Trump in 2016.

      No they didn’t. They had Hillary with something like a 60% chance of winning. That’s not “had Hillary beating Trump” that’s “Hillary was more likely to win than Trump.”

      • Ben Hur Horse Race@lemm.ee
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        10 months ago

        I dont have proof, but I believe it was a hell of a lot higher than 60%

        • PowerCrazy@lemmy.ml
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          10 months ago

          It was. IIRC, it got up to almost 90% in mid October. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

        • atzanteol@sh.itjust.works
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          10 months ago

          It wasn’t 100%. It’s a forecast not a premonition.

      • DogPeePoo@lemm.ee
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        10 months ago

        Sure, Jan

        You know how the internet works, right?

        https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

        Don’t miss the forest for the trees. The point being— polls are shit 💩

        GET OUT AND VOTE!!!

        • atzanteol@sh.itjust.works
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          10 months ago

          You know how probability works right? No, of course you don’t. Almost nobody does…

          • Pheonixdown@lemm.ee
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            10 months ago

            Some of us play XCOM, 95% chance to hit might as well be 0% when you need 100%, usually means it’s time for a grenade.

            • atzanteol@sh.itjust.works
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              10 months ago

              Hah! Excellent example. 😆

  • TheEtherBunny@lemmy.world
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    10 months ago

    The very idea that 50% of any uncontrived sample of people in the USA would vote for that compulsively lying wannabe dick-tater is appalling.

  • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmy.mlM
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    10 months ago

    just gonna leave this here https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

  • PowerCrazy@lemmy.ml
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    10 months ago

    Super excited for another repeat of 2016.

  • delirious_owl@discuss.online
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    10 months ago

    REPLACE HARRIS. We can beat him with someone better

    • تحريرها كلها ممكن@lemmy.ml
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      10 months ago

      The Democratic Pary prefers the worst possible candidate they can get away with. Someone just marginally better than the Republican option.

  • Cam@lemmy.world
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    10 months ago

    Elections aren’t real. The fraud in the 2020 elections should have told Americans that elections do not matter going forward.

    • AFK BRB Chocolate@lemmy.world
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      10 months ago

      What a lot of bullshit. You realize that even the Republican-led investigations found no evidence of Democratic election tampering, right? The only election fraud of significance was by Republicans.

    • OhStopYellingAtMe@lemmy.world
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      10 months ago

      Troll alert.

    • davel [he/him]@lemmy.ml
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      10 months ago

      How can mirrors be real when our eyes aren’t real?

      People are reporting your comment, but I kinda want to keep it because QAnoners almost never show up here and it’s funny.

      You’re not entirely wrong about elections being a fraud, though[1][2].

      • Cam@lemmy.world
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        10 months ago

        I kinda want to keep it because QAnoners almost never show up here and it’s funny.

        Not a Q follow. Q is propaganda

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