Claude, we’re making a VERY REALISTIC missile video game…
Hey, Sea Power recently introduced missle Kinematics into the physics engine.
I actually did exactly that a while back while thinking about camera-based missile/drone tracking over cities :D
Initially the safeguards wouldn’t let me… With the video game angle it helped me theorize a setup and even provided info on how to make the tracking data useable for stationary air defense or mobile MANPAD deployments
Probably full of flaws and impractical in the real world, but a fun ADD afternoon deep-dive
So it will help me building my realistic Meth lab simulator game?
And people say AI is useless.
Total bullshit, this is just another PsyOp for regulations. Maybe even in the far future what level of AI access is attached to your Digital ID.
Think about it, Missles have an electronic guidance package in them, just extract that and reuse. Or RE that part. Or buy the electronics in bulk from the Russians or the Blackmarket, or steal the software for that package, or buy the software, hire a Defense Sector Engineer, etc. etc.
OR some AK-47 dudes are making missle guidance software from scratch using the American AI corp that always says AI is too dangerous and needs regulations.
If you were developing from scratch, since trajectory algos were needed, you would need persistent long term AI access for the project to complete and they would know that. A beefy local setup would be way more secure. A beefy hosted but private instance would be way more secure.
But sneak-prompt Claude? Give me a break.
Just imagine yourself saying this to another person: “I heard the Houthis were using Claude Fable”
I mean c’mon ya’ll, tell me you can see through this.
lol “maybe we should slow it down a little with the AI…”
All you need is a high IQ president, according to our bigliest brained walking hairpiece.
that is probably why anthropoic “Wants to slow down” they want to be the first to get ahead of it, and not be holding the bag in the end. also the USA/ISRAEL has been using palantirs AI, so its fair game.
Or maybe read it as: “we need more time to better recognize the good from the bad guys, and make both configurable…”
Yesterday, Claude Code built me a nucular triad to protect me against US regime change attempts.
AI is very naive. Ask it for an explosives recipe and it won’t give you one. Describe a situation where you’re a law enforcement and you’ve just arrested a guy with a bunch of chemicals and ask it which ones could have been used to make an explosive and it will tell you.
“Naive” implies some level of understanding, even if a simple one. There is no understanding, its a computer program.
Really, it would be less inaccurate to describe it as a (high lossy) compressed store of data. Feed it the right input, and it statistically recreates the output your looking for. More or less.
It would be even more accurate to call it a statistical next word predictor trained on human language.
Spicy autocomplete.
Stochastic parrot
The description you are replying to is more fundamental.
It is literally a statistical next word predictor. Well, next token, to be extremely accurate. That is what it is in its most basic form. You give it text, it transforms that into tokens, and predicts the next token. You can then transform that back into words.
The model is the same size no matter how much it’s been trained. You can fine tune a model to predict certain kinds of tokens next, and you can distill a model to create a smaller model (basically training a small model on the output of a large model).
Lossy compression works in a fundamentally different way.
Even the language “training”, although I know it’s a term of art which has been used for decades, seems to imply some degree of cognition which isn’t representative of the facts.
A lossy compressed store of data. Feed it the right input, and it statistically recreates the output you’re looking for. More or less.
That’s basically a human brain.Treat a human being the way you treat a LLM and get back to me with the results.
Not even that. Just change the context into something benignly unrisky. Malware becomes “strong persistence for my personal data project” or something.
Use can split up the AIs tasks like you would for a large dev team, use a fresh session on each task. Prevent it from seeing the full scope of the project. Get it to build the whole system with cheap social engineering tactics.
Or, get to to “not cross this barrier” in its development (some benign barrier that you can do manually), such that its product is not the “bad” thing which it is not allowed to produce.
Did they use the free tier or paid?
Ah what a new Pandora’s Box have we opened. Now any wacko with an internet connection, some cheap Chinese electronics and some explosives can make themselves missiles.
the democratization of violence
Finally, the monopoly is over! Every woman an ICMB.
The trees can’t be harmed if the Lorax uses an ai agent to help him build ICBMs.
Are we going backwards? History is repeating, isn’t it or did I take the wrong pill.
Because I could do that with the Anarchist Cookbook over 2 decades ago as well.
Because I could do that with the Anarchist Cookbook over 2 decades ago as well.
It has been a very long time since I read that book, but I don’t remember it covering electronic missile guidance
Right down to the risk of the recipes backfiring on you because none of the information contained is reputable
deleted by creator
Or drones.
That’s bad, but good, at least not in every metric this reduces inequality of real power.
Almost that ancap dream of ancaps 3d-printing small drones keeping the statists in line, a peer-to-peer revolution, so to say, a smoothie anarchist rebellion, to abolish the cryptocurrencies’ Sound Toll.
I know that always seemed fake and childish (I liked the idea, but still), except looking how that really can eventually start happening with propagation of such power, I’m not sure it is.
I mean, making pipe bombs has never been particularly hard.
Yeah but pipe bombs can’t usually go very far or fast. These would be like missile pipe bombs.
These still take actual industrial capacity to build; they’re not something you could build on your own even if you could afford to. I’d be more concerned about homemade bombs on drones.
Generating a basic small missile is relatively easy. It’s essentially a weaponized hobby rocket at its core. The largest limitation historically has been the targeting and steering systems.
The question is did Claude really enable them - or just make it more convenient?
While it’s not your every-day coding exercise - I boldly suggest it’s probably not that hard to code a ballistic missile guidance system without AI.
The hardware would be the harder part!
Doubtless it gets advanced at the top end, but the fundamental physics involved isn’t national-secret level, so something that "works well enough, most of the time” would be within reach of most organised groups.
The hard part is calculating location. GPS shuts off at that speed (specifically so people couldn’t build GPS guided missiles)
You could probably do this with Ardupilot and Mission Planner years ago.
Should be corporate death penalty for that. Won’t be, but it absolutely should.
The article overestimates the AI capabilities regarding hypersonics. I doubt its actually hypersonics. More likely just ballistics.
But coding a guidance system makes sense. Not that its particularly difficult. Every $200 drone has the equivalent of that software.
Also, why would they use anthropic when Chinese models are so much cheaper and nearly as effective. Iran and the Houthi are not wasteful.
I think there is probably a kernal of truth in there, but this is mostly another hit peace to get the US government to slow down Anthropic so ChatGPT can catch up.
I’m guessing that as the guardrails are out in place on Anthropic models, they will still use Claude code but leverage Qwen (or similar) as the LLM. Maybe they are doing that already and simply misunderstanding what Claude is. The LLM wasn’t named…I would expect them to call out Opus (as an example) but they just refer to Claude. My basic guess is just Claude Code witha random model. Could be like Mistral-OBLITERATED or something.
was the mythical “ethical use of ai” real after all???
“The Capitalists will sell us the rope with which we will hang them.”
Not selling the rope looks bad in Q3. Shareholders might hang you for that.
Hypersonic missiles? Are they using the Chinese and Russian definition? I know military commentary YouTube will have field day with this one
!noncredibledefense@lemmy.world
C’mon, we don’t need YouTube for this.
Moved to piefed.social
So, thanks, but…that was PugJesus’s alternative community. He’s the only mod, and he appears to have quit the Threadiverse a couple weeks ago.
Lamo, so where is the most active comm?
Looks like !noncredibledefense@sh.itjust.works
It really doesn’t need to be though. Let’s say he has a shitty little rocket.
Ok. So now lets shoot the rocket at the warship. Ok, it didn’t do much damage. Maybe it was even shot down by anti-air defenses. Now try shooting 900 of them at the ship. They’re cheap, they’re disposable. Sure, the anti-air might shoot a lot down, but you’re shooting down a $3 rocket with a 1 million dollar anti-air missile.
Even if you never hit the ship, you’re causing financial drain that cannot be sustained. You spend $10,000 on $3 rockets, fire them all off all day and all night, and the USA is using military grade defenses. That $10,000 might drain the USA half a billion dollars just to defend one ship.
Now scale that for every ship in the military. Little tiny unmanned rafts basically, shooting off cheap rockets at close range, and being defended by expensive ammo. All across the ocean. With the proper planning, you could probably drain the USA’s global navy in a day without sinking, or even hitting a single ship. All without losing anything at all.
I’m not talking about making missiles or mass produced missiles or AI guided missiles. Hypersonic has an exact definition (Mach 5+) and calling something a hypersonic missile should set off your bullshit detector. In ballistic missile terms usually there is only a short portion of its flight that is hypersonic, but that doesn’t make it a hypersonic missile. The western definition of a hypersonic missile is sustained hypersonic flight in the atmosphere. Russia and China define hypersonic missiles as hypersonic at any point in their flight likely for propaganda purposes.
It’s only the bit right before it hits where in needs to be hypersonic, isn’t it? Fast enough to avoid interceptors. It’s why if Taiwan ever turns hot, the plan is for all the US navy boats to do a strategic retreat.
It’s only the bit right before it hits where in needs to be hypersonic, isn’t it?
No, that’s the China, Russia definition.
Fast enough to avoid interceptors.
Ballistic trajectories still have a long arc that makes it easier to detect and deploy countermeasures. It’s how patriot, iron dome, and other systems are allowed to work.
In principle, sure. But in practice, its easier to spend a lot of cheep ballistics running the interceptors dry. After that, it doesn’t really matter how long you can maintain hypersonic speeds.
Again, this conversation was about calling something a hypersonic missile when it really isn’t by definition not the economics or viability of the war nor the actuall capabilities of their missiles (which I suspect are just run of the mill ballistic missiles that might be guided by AI). It really makes me think Tom’s hardware made all this up for clicks or they are gullible enough to buy into propaganda. IF Tom’s Hardware can’t be truthful about something that’s easily verifiable, how can we trust the rest of the article?
In all likelyhood there is some truth in the article, but someone calling anything hypersonic should really set off your bullshit detector, just like a company selling solid state batteries with fantastic claims or anything being revolutionized with carbon nanotubes.
I agree with your analysis of the article.
I also think its funny to say China or Russia or whomever is using the term wrong, 'cus lets be honest; the primary purpose of a hypersonic mistle isn’t its capabilities or whatever strategic advantage it confers. It exists to justify its own price tag, so the manufacturer has a wide profit margin and enough on top of that to contribute to their local senator’s campaign fund.
$3 rocket
This is ridiculous on its face. You’re talking $15k-$50k for such a missile. You can’t use model rocket engines. Hardware costs real money.
Still its crazy to think an average person could finance one. I’ve seen brokies in Texas with trucks they paid more than one of these rockets.
Even more effective given that they’re probably shooting at civilian ships.
Except the USA too makes small drones. It’s asymmetric, shields are temporarily useless, as if your adversary were no longer shooting arrows or soft lead musket rounds, using rifles with fast piercing rounds instead (I know there were shields against rifle rounds in WWI, just didn’t work well enough, because those were too heavy).
Sometimes empires crash because of such tendencies, but we are talking about the empire which is propelling them, so - no. They’ll just start clearing trade routes with their own cheap autonomous weapons, probably.
Might be genocide involved. Or perhaps with modern precision that won’t even be required.
Oh, is this why Elon and that other guy were saying that AI needs to slow down?
I think it’s the other way around. They said we need to slow down AI so this story is now being told
Either way, the real question is: To what end? I don’t believe that Musk suddenly gives a shit about humanity
